News Flash

Kemah News Flash

Posted on: September 9, 2021

Tropical Weather Monitoring 09.09.21 5:30 PM

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The City of Kemah Emergency Management continues to monitor the possible tropical developments making their way towards the Gulf of Mexico. As we continue to track these developments, now is a good time to review your severe/tropical weather preparedness plans.

In addition to our Emergency Preparedness document for a quick overview of what you will need to be aware of during events like this, we also highly recommend visiting www.GCOEM.org to download the Galveston County Emergency and Disaster Guide. It is filled with tips and information to help you prepare.

The City of Kemah urges you to please stay abreast of weather developments by following local weather news reports for Galveston County. And observing communications from the US National Weather Service Houston-Galveston Texas for the latest information.

The National Weather Service has produced the following information:

NWS Update: Potential For Heavy Rain Returns Late Weekend

Bottom Line
After a stretch of dry and somewhat comfortable weather, unsettled weather returns early next week as a surge of deep tropical moisture moves into Texas bringing high rain and storm chances.  

Overview
Big changes ahead. After a week of dry weather conditions, a gradual increase in moisture is expected as a tropical disturbance moves near the Bay of Campeche/southwestern Gulf of Mexico. If this disturbance develops into a tropical cyclone, direct impacts should remain well south of the region. However, a very moist atmosphere may provide for widespread showers and thunderstorms and efficient rainfall rates at times across our region. 2-3 inches per hour rainfall rates may be possible at times. It is too early for specific details this far out, but models continue to suggest the potential for some heavy rainfall, mainly south of I-10. Rainfall amounts will be strongly dependent on the location of the heaviest precipitation axis. If the system moves along the coast and/or inland, rainfall totals of 3-8+ inches will be possible through midweek.  Lower rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are possible, especially north of a Brenham to Livingston line; however the axis of heaviest rain over areas south of I-10 could change if storms focus more offshore on Monday.  The main message to distribute is that scattered to widespread rain, some locally heavy, is on the way.

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Alternate Possibilities
Confidence is increasing that an area of deep tropical moisture will move westward into the TX coast late this weekend/early next week. Confidence is increasing that rain and storm chances will develop and move into the region as early as Saturday night, with better chances Sunday and Monday. Widespread rainfall and locally heavy rain will be possible; however the exact location of the heaviest rain axis is still uncertain.

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National Weather Service Resources

NWS Houston Galveston Phone Numbers: (281) 337-5074 ext. 234 or ext. 232

NWS Houston/Galveston Webpage: www.weather.gov/houston

National Hurricane Center Webpage: www.hurricanes.gov

Hourly Forecasts (Click Your Location):

http://forecast.weather.gov/gridpoint.php?site=hgx&TypeDefault=graphical

West Gulf River Forecast Center Webpage: www.weather.gov/wgrfc

AHPS Webpage: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=hgx

If you have any additional questions, please feel free to contact the National Weather Service at the phone numbers listed above.

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